Will the Weibull Distribution Be on the Demonstration Test?

Over on the Indium Corporation's blog, Dr. Ron Lasky has been sharing some interesting ideas about using the Weibull distribution in electronics manufacturing. For instance, check out this discussion of how dramatically an early first-failure can affect an analysis of a part or component (in this case, an alloy used to solder components to a circuit board). 

This got me thinking again about all the different situations in which the Weibull distribution can help us make good decisions. The main reason Weibull is so useful is that it's very flexible in fitting different types of data, because it...

Expanding the Role of Statistics to Areas Traditionally Dominated by Expert Judgment

Should this doctor consult a regression model?

In a previous post, I wrote about how the field of statistics is more important now than ever before due to the modern deluge of data. Because you’re reading Minitab's statistical blog, I’ll assume that we’re in agreement that statistics allows you to use data to understand reality. However, I’d also bet that you’re picturing important but “typical” statistical studies, such as studies where Six Sigma analysts determine which factors affect product quality. Or perhaps medical studies, like determining the effectiveness of flu shots.

In this post,...

Using Games to Teach Statistics

We usually think of games as a distraction—just something we do for fun. However, growing evidence suggests that games can do much more, especially when it comes to learning in a classroom setting.

Because statistics is a topic that doesn’t come easily to most, using properly designed games to teach statistics can become a valuable tool to spark interest and help explain difficult concepts.

So what kinds of “properly designed” games are we talking about here? Not traditional board games like Monopoly or Chutes and Ladders, but interactive computer games—the types of games younger generations...

Get Your Way, Every Time: 7 Default Settings in Minitab You Didn’t Know You Could Change

Unless you’re 3 years old, you probably can’t have things just the way you want them all the time.  

You can’t always have peanut butter and ranch dressing on your toast. Or ketchup on your pineapple. Or sugar sprinkles on your peas.

But there is one small arena in life over which you can still exert your control. 

Tools > Options in Minitab's statistical software allows you to change selected default settings in the software, without having to throw a temper tantrum first.

This powerful, underutilized feature in Minitab may save you from the inconvenience of having to change a default setting...

Talking Design of Experiments (DOE) and Quality at the 2013 ASQ World Conference

The 2013 ASQ World Conference is taking place this week in Indianapolis, Indiana, and it's been a treat to see how our software was used in the projects highlighted in many of the presentations. As a supporter of the conference, a key event for quality practitioners around the world, Minitab was proud to sponsor one of the presentations that seemed to get a lot of attendees talking. Scott Sterbenz, a Six Sigma leader from Ford Motor Company, delivered a presentation entitled "Leveraging Designed Experiments for Success," which explained how to make designed experiments succeed with examples...

Understanding Alpha Alleviates Alarm

One of the more misunderstood concepts in statistics is alpha, more formally known as the significance level. Alpha is typically set before you conduct an experiment. When the calculated p-value from a hypothesis test is less than the significance level (α), the results of an experiment are so unlikely to happen by chance that the more likely explanation is the results occur because of the effect being studied. That the results are unlikely to happen by chance is what we mean by the phrase “statistical significance,” not to be confused with practical significance.

There was a wonderful example...

Truth, Beauty, Nonparametrics & Symmetry Plots

  “Shall I compare thee to a standard normal distribution?
  Thou art more symmetric and more bell-shaped…”  — Melvin Shakespeare (William’s lesser-known statistician brother)

The Greek philosopher Aristotle believed that symmetry was one of the primary elements of the universal ideal of beauty. Over 2000 years later, emerging research seems to bear him out. 

Studies suggest we tend to be more attracted to people with symmetrical bodies. Using motion-capture technology to record the movements of people dancing to a popular song, one recent study concluded that we even prefer those who dance...

Explaining Quality Statistics So My Boss Will Understand: Measurement Systems Analysis (MSA)

As a teenaged dishwasher at a local eatery, I had a boss who'd never washed dishes in a restaurant himself. I once spent 40 minutes trying to convince him that forks and spoons should go in their holders with the business end up, while knives should go in point-down. Whatever I said, he didn't get it. We were ordered to put forks and spoons in the holders with the handles up.

The outraged wait staff soon made clear what I hadn't: you can't immediately tell the difference between a fork and a spoon when all you can see is the handle! Explaning that in the right way would have minimized wasted...

When Should I Use Confidence Intervals, Prediction Intervals, and Tolerance Intervals

In statistics, we use a variety of intervals to characterize the results. The most well-known of these are confidence intervals. However, confidence intervals are not always appropriate. In this post, we’ll take a look at the different types of intervals that are available in Minitab, their characteristics, and when you should use them.

I’ll cover confidence intervals, prediction intervals, and tolerance intervals. Because tolerance intervals are the least-known, I’ll devote extra time to explaining how they work and when you’d want to use them.

What are Confidence Intervals?

A confidence...

Enough Is Enough! Handling Multicollinearity in Regression Analysis

In regression analysis, we look at the correlations between one or more input variables, or factors, and a response. We might look at how baking time and temperature relate to the hardness of a piece of plastic, or how educational levels and the region of one's birth relate to annual income. The number of potential factors you might include in a regression model is limited only by your imagination...and your capacity to actually gather the data you imagine.

But before throwing data about every potential predictor under the sun into your regression model, remember a thing called multicollinearity...

Benthic Invertebrates Gone Wild!

Using a Survey of Aquatic Bugs to Estimate Stream Quality

As we click, flip, and scroll through hundreds of sites and channels, cruising for our daily dose of e-thrills, it’s easy to forget there’s a beautiful, wild, creative universe right in our backyards.

I had the chance to experience a tiny part of that universe on a recent Saturday afternoon, when a couple of friends, Yolanda and Monika, asked me if I wanted to join them to monitor the water quality of the stream that runs in back of our house.

Yolanda and Monika are part of a large grassroots network of volunteers who selflessly give their...

What Statistical Software Should You Choose: Three More Critical Questions

Earlier I wrote about four important questions you should ask if you're looking at using statistical software to analyze data in your organization, especially if you're hoping to improve quality using methods like Six Sigma. But there are other points to consider as well. If you're in market for statistical software, be sure to investigate these questions, too!

What Types of Statistical Analysis Will They Be Doing? 

The specific types of analysis you need to do could play a big part in determining the right statistical software for your organization. The American Statistical Association's softwa...

Getting Started with Factorial Design of Experiments (DOE)

When I talk to quality professionals about how they use statistics, one tool they mention again and again is design of experiments, or DOE. I'd never even heard the term before I started getting involved in quality improvement efforts, but now that I've learned how it works, I wonder why I didn't learn about it sooner. If you need to find out how several factors are affecting a process outcome, DOE is the way to go. 

Somewhere in school you probably learned, like I did, that when you do an experiment you need to hold all the factors constant except for the one you're studying. That seems simple...

Rethinking the Obvious: How Data Analysis and Diagrams Can Upend Conventional Wisdom

Has it happened to you?  

You organize a brainstorming session to begin analyzing your process.

At the kick-off meeting, several people sit with arms crossed, lips pursed, eyes cast downward. Frequently, they’re the ones who’ve worked at the process for most of their professional lives.

Here we go again. Wasting time to prove the obvious,” their faces say. “I’ve done my job for years. You’re not going to show me anything I don’t already know.”

Yet you bravely push forward. Every now and then you see someone roll their eyes. “When can I get back to my desk and do some real work?!!!”  they seem to...

Using Minitab to Choose the Best Ranking System in College Basketball

Life is full of choices. Some are simple, such as what shirt to put on in the morning (although if you’re like me, it’s not so much of a “choice” as it is throwing on the first thing you grab out of the closet). And some choices are more complex. In the quality world, you might have to determine which distribution to choose for your capability analysis or which factor levels to use to bake the best cookie in a design of experiments. But all of these choices pale in comparison* to the most important decision you have to make each year: which college basketball teams to pick during March...

Build a DIY Catapult for DOE (Design of Experiments), part 2

by Matthew Barsalou, guest blogger

In my last post, I shared my plans for building a simple do-it-yourself catapult for performing experiments to practice using design of experiments (DOE)

That's the completed catapult there on the right. If you want to build your own, here are my plans and instructions in a PDF.  

Now that my catapult is built, I have one last step to complete:  to find the optimal catapult setting using DOE, which I'll do with Minitab Statistical Software. (If you'd like to follow along but don't already have it, please download the 30-day free trial of Minitab.) 

Planning...

Why the Weibull Distribution Is Always Welcome

In college I had a friend who could go anywhere and fit right in. He'd have lunch with a group of professors, then play hacky-sack with the hippies in the park, and later that evening he'd hang out with the local bikers at the toughest bar in the city. Next day he'd play pickup football with the jocks before going to an all-night LAN party with his gamer pals. On an average weekend he might catch an all-ages show with the small group of straight-edge punk rockers on our campus, or else check out a kegger with some townies, then finish the weekend by playing some D&D with his friends from the...

Forget Statistical Assumptions - Just Check the Requirements!

One of the most poorly understood concepts in the use of statistics is the idea of assumptions. You've probably encountered many of these assumptions, such as "data normality is an assumption of the 1-sample t-test."  But if you read that statement and believe normality is a requirement of the 1-sample t-test, then you have missed a subtle and important characteristic of assumptions and need to read on...

An "assumption" is not necessarily a "requirement"!

To understand where this idea of assumptions come from, let's forget about statistics for a minute and imagine we sell bikes online.  We...

Why Statistics Is Important

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

I’m sure you’ve heard this most vile expression, which was popularized by Mark Twain among others. This dastardly phrase impugns the reputation of statistics. The implication is that statistics can bolster a weak argument, or that statistics can be used to prove anything.

I’ve had enough of this expression, and here’s the rebuttal! In fact, I’ll make the case that statistics is not the problem, but the solution!

Mistakes Can Happen

First, let’s stipulate that an unscrupulous person canintentionally manipulate the results to favor...

3 Common (and Dangerous!) Statistical Misconceptions

Have you ever been a victim of a statistical misconception that’s affected how you’ve interpreted your analysis? Like any field of study, statistics has some common misconceptions that can trip up even experienced statisticians. Here are a few common misconceptions to watch out for as you complete your analyses and interpret the results.

Mistake #1: Misinterpreting Overlapping Confidence Intervals

When comparing multiple means, statistical practitioners are sometimes advised to compare the results from confidence intervals and determine whether the intervals overlap. When 95%...