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Rob Kelly

Rob Kelly is a senior statistician in Minitab's research and design department. 

Welcome to the Hypothesis Test Casino! The featured game of the house is roulette. But this is no ordinary game of roulette. This is p-value roulette! Here’s how it works: We have two roulette wheels, the Null wheel and the Alternative wheel. Each wheel has 20 slots (instead of the usual 37 or 38). You get to bet on one slot. What happens if the ball lands in the slot you bet on? Well, that depends... Continue Reading
See if this sounds fair to you. I flip a coin. Heads: You win $1.Tails: You pay me $1. You may not like games of chance, but you have to admit it seems like a fair game. At least, assuming the coin is a normal, balanced coin, and assuming I’m not a sleight-of-hand magician who can control the coin. How about this next game? You pay me $2 to play.I flip a coin over and over until it comes up heads.Your... Continue Reading

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Like so many of us, I try to stay healthy by watching my weight. I thought it might be interesting to apply some statistical thinking to the idea of maintaining a healthy weight, and the central limit theorem could provide some particularly useful insights. I’ll start by making some simple (maybe even simplistic) assumptions about calorie intake and expenditure, and see where those lead. And then... Continue Reading