Welcome to the Hypothesis Test Casino! The featured game of the
house is roulette. But this is no ordinary game of
roulette. This is p-value roulette!
Here’s how it works: We have two roulette wheels, the Null wheel
and the Alternative wheel. Each wheel has 20 slots (instead of the
usual 37 or 38). You get to bet on one slot.
What happens if the ball lands in the slot you bet on? Well,
that depends... Continue Reading
See if this
sounds fair to you. I flip a coin.
Heads: You win
$1.Tails: You pay me $1.
You may not like games of chance, but you have to admit it seems
like a fair game. At least, assuming the coin is a normal, balanced
coin, and assuming I’m not a sleight-of-hand magician who can
control the coin.
How about this next
You pay me $2 to play.I flip a coin over and over until
it comes up heads.Your... Continue Reading
Like so many of us, I try to stay healthy by watching my weight.
I thought it might be interesting to apply some statistical
thinking to the idea of maintaining a healthy weight, and the
central limit theorem could provide some particularly useful
insights. I’ll start by making some simple (maybe even simplistic)
assumptions about calorie intake and expenditure, and see where
those lead. And then... Continue Reading
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